Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.959587 2.256485 2.583048 2.968892 3.412385 3.906277 4.498211
2025-05-25 1.478998 1.850273 2.293131 2.860360 3.567935 4.422039 5.532392
2025-06-01 1.199582 1.612286 2.140307 2.865541 3.836587 5.093321 6.846235
2025-06-08 0.979574 1.403025 1.979521 2.821948 4.022991 5.676448 8.131330
2025-06-15 0.876008 1.328429 1.979696 2.985859 4.503553 6.712117 10.180427
2025-06-22 0.764793 1.221487 1.913039 3.036828 4.820985 7.551379 12.063353
2025-06-29 0.658302 1.102591 1.807308 3.006827 5.002740 8.201493 13.740415
2025-07-06 0.551750 0.965678 1.651024 2.868706 4.984782 8.524062 14.923647
2025-07-13 0.509482 0.929051 1.652105 2.989257 5.409045 9.620773 17.550099
2025-07-20 0.475932 0.901973 1.664301 3.128119 5.879905 10.852061 20.575072
2025-07-27 0.441345 0.867445 1.657435 3.229255 6.292283 12.025919 23.647421
2025-08-03 0.403924 0.821830 1.623188 3.272371 6.597821 13.035118 26.535035
2025-08-10 0.354424 0.747300 1.527307 3.189440 6.661182 13.618318 28.730354
2025-08-17 0.304385 0.664360 1.403518 3.032668 6.553681 13.850131 30.248423
2025-08-24 0.274235 0.618908 1.350074 3.015116 6.734550 14.696303 33.189634
2025-08-31 0.244469 0.569843 1.282133 2.956195 6.817044 15.344584 35.793401
2025-09-07 0.235330 0.565944 1.312054 3.119945 7.420097 17.210077 41.420881
2025-09-14 0.218642 0.541941 1.293318 3.168527 7.763936 18.537199 45.985983
2025-09-21 0.198431 0.506450 1.243002 3.134550 7.905978 19.413897 49.593835
2025-09-28 0.174042 0.456993 1.152551 2.989085 7.753509 19.565231 51.422375
2025-10-05 0.167145 0.451167 1.168358 3.113806 8.300300 21.507131 58.111213
2025-10-12 0.161578 0.448011 1.190435 3.257917 8.917958 23.710808 65.812873
2025-10-19 0.154415 0.439498 1.197467 3.362929 9.446433 25.754388 73.383807